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Title: Rank Tests at Jump Events
Originating Office: IAS
Speaker: Tauchen, George Eugene
Issue Date: 23-Jun-2016
Event Date: 23-Jun-2016
Group/Series/Folder: Record Group 8.15 - Institute for Advanced Study
Series 3 - Audio-visual Materials
Location: 8.15:3 EF
Notes: IAS Quantitative Finance and Fintech seminar series. IAS Quantitative Finance and Fintech Mini Workshop.
Title from slide title.
Abstract: We propose a test for the rank of a cross-section of processes at a set of jump events. The jump events are either specific known times or are random and associated with jumps of some process. The test is formed from discretely sampled data on a fixed time interval with asymptotically shrinking mesh. In the first step, we form nonparametric estimates of the jump events via thresholding techniques. We then compute the eigenvalues of the outer product of the cross-section of increments atthe identified jump events. The test for rank $r$ is based on the asymptotic behavior of the sum of the squared eigenvalues excluding the largest $r$. A simple resampling method is proposed for feasible testing. The test is applied to financial data spanning the period 2007-2015 at the times of stock market jumps. We find support for a one-factor model of both industry portfolio and Dow 30 stock returns at market jump times. This stands in contrast with earlier evidence for higher-dimensional factor structure of stock returns during 'normal'' (non-jump) times. We identify the latent factor driving the stocks and portfolios as the size of the market jump.
Duration: 53 min.
Appears in Series:8.15:3 - Audio-visual Materials
Videos for Public -- Distinguished Lectures